I wouldn't have thought so, but it looks like Obama's pulled solidly ahead in Iowa, and has really solid second-choice numbers, which are absolutely key to winning the caucuses.
And, of course, if he takes Iowa, the media bump he'll get from that will instantly catapult him into contention with Hillary, and we'll likely see the poll numbers reflect that.
(Though if she takes all the other early states, that will probably mitigate things somewhat.)
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